WARREN — Trumbull and 10 other Ohio counties were placed on the state's watch list for the highest alert level under the state's coronavirus risk map.
If Trumbull County continues to meet six of the Ohio Public Health Advisory System's seven risk indicators next week, it will be elevated to level 4 "purple" alert status.
This week, Montgomery, Lake and Lorain counties were elevated to that highest alert status, while Franklin County remained at level 4 for a second week. Counties reach the status after meeting six out of seven risk indicators for two weeks in a row. The first week, they're placed on the state's watch list.
It's unclear which of the system's seven risk indicators Trumbull County has met, as new advisory system data was not available Wednesday. The Ohio Department of Health in a Wednesday afternoon release noted the "ongoing stress" of the state's health care system has delayed today's release of new data.
Trumbull County last week remained at level 3 “red” alert status under the Ohio Public Health Advisory System map, as the county meets five of the system's seven risk indicators:
- The county has reported 1,140 new cases in the last two weeks, which is about 576 new cases per 100,000 people. Counties meet this indicator if reporting more than 50 cases per 100,000 people over the past two weeks.
- The county reported two consecutive, at least five-day increases in the seven-day average of new cases over the past three weeks. On Oct. 28, that average was 36 new cases. It rose to an average of about 108 new cases on Nov. 13. The average declined briefly during that period, but then resumed climbing for another five straight days.
- Between 87 percent and 100 percent of the county’s new cases in each of the last three weeks were reported outside of group settings such as long-term care or correctional facilities. Counties meet this indicator if weekly non-congregate cases from at least one of the last three weeks was over 50 percent.
- The county reported a consecutive, at least five-day increase in its seven-day average of emergency department visits for COVID-like illness within the past three weeks. On Nov. 4, that average was six visits. It rose to an average 23 new visits on Nov. 16.
- The county reported a consecutive, at least five-day increase in its seven-day average of outpatient visits for COVID-like illness, which are then followed by a confirmed or suspected COVID-19 diagnosis, within the past three weeks. On Nov. 8, that average was 14 visits. It rose to an average 20 visits on Nov. 13.
Other counties on the watch list this week are: Adams; Clermont; Hamilton; Medina; Portage; Richland; Stark; Summit; Warren; and Wood. All those counties are in the Akron and Cincinnati regions, which have seen ICU bed capacity shrink due to COVID-19, according to a release from the state.
"The ongoing high prevalence of the virus throughout Ohio, as reflected in today's alert system update, is very dangerous as we move into the holidays," Gov. Mike DeWine is quoted in the release. "We have heard again this week from hospital administrators and front-line staff about how they are overwhelmed.
"It is imperative that Ohioans take the virus and this current situation seriously."
Trumbull County seeing sustained spike
Trumbull County has reported a total of 5,523 cases of COVID-19 to date, which includes 288 new cases reported today, according to Trumbull County Combined Health District.
Of those total reported cases, about 2,366 are presumed to be active infections. More than half of the county's total cases to date have been reported in the last 30 days, according to the Ohio Department of Health's COVID-19 dashboard.
The county did not report any new deaths today. A total of 147 people have died in the county to date, according to the district.
Seven cases have been removed from the county’s case total because they were duplicates, according to the district.
The county is monitoring another 95 people in quarantine for symptoms of the virus. There are 199 people being quarantined for monitoring in the City of Warren. The county is not currently monitoring any additional “suspect cases” through the Ohio Disease Reporting System.
A total of 2,582 people in the county, including 994 from Warren, have completed quarantine periods and been released.
A total of 3,010 people in the county are presumed to have recovered from the virus as of Wednesday, according to the Ohio Department of Health COVID-19 dashboard. That metric is measured as the number of COVID-19 patients whose symptoms reportedly began more than 21 days ago but who have not died.
The county reported three new hospitalizations today. A total of 347 people have been hospitalized for COVID-19 in the county to date.
Of the county's total cases to date, 2,556 are male and 2,967 are female. Their ages range from infancy to 102 years old.
Trumbull County on Wednesday had the 16th-highest number of total cases in the state, as well as the 10th-highest total deaths, according to ODH.
Trumbull County Combined Health District maintains a dedicated hotline to report complaints for violations of pandemic orders or guidelines, including the statewide mask order that took effect July 23. That number is 330-675-7841. The district urges residents not to call 911 for complaints.
Below is Trumbull County's most recent profile on the Ohio Public Health Advisory System map, updated Nov. 19. To view a full-size version, click the icon in the upper-right: